Jakarta, 22 January 2024 – The Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) released the results of the latest electability survey of presidential and vice presidential candidates. Based on a survey conducted on January 10-11 2024, presidential and vice presidential candidates number 2, Prabowo Subianto and Gibran Rakabuming Raka are firmly at the top of the standings by achieving 47% electability.
Prabowo-Gibran’s electability is 23.8% adrift of their competitors, presidential and vice-presidential candidate number 1, Anies Baswedan and Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin) who won 23.2%. Meanwhile, the presidential and vice presidential candidates number 3, Ganjar Pranowo and Mahfud MD, were chosen by 21.7%. There were 8% of respondents who did not know or did not answer.
Prabowo-Gibran’s electability rose 1.4% compared to the survey in December 2023. The electability increase was also experienced by Anies-Cak Imin, which rose 0.9% from the beginning of December 2023 of 22.3%. Meanwhile, Ganjar-Mahfud fell from the previous 23.8% or down 2.1%
“In January we found that support for Prabowo-Gibran was at 47%. A slight increase compared to the beginning of December. So during that month, although not significant, there was a trend of increasing by 1.4% from 45.6% to 47%. Which Also having a slight upward trend were Amin, Anies-Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar from 22.3% to 23.2%. The increase was similar to Prabowo-Gibran’s around 1%. What actually fell was the Ganjar-Mahfud pair which fell around 2.1 %,” said LSI Executive Director, Djayadi Hanan in releasing the survey results online, Saturday (20/1/2024).
Despite the changes, Djayadi Hanan said, the electability of the three presidential and vice presidential candidates is starting to stagnate. This is different compared to October to December. Prabowo-Gibran, who achieved 36% in October, jumped to 45.6% in December 2023. On the other hand, Ganjar-Mahfud experienced a significant decline from October 2023, reaching 30.9%, continuing to fall to 23.8% in December 2023.
“There is an upward trend for Prabowo and Anies, but there is a downward trend for the Ganjar-Mahfud pair. Only over the last month the upward trend has slowed down, not as drastically as from October to December,” he said.
This survey was conducted by LSI on 1,206 respondents who were randomly selected using the double sampling method. The survey’s margin of error is estimated to be +- 2.9% at a 95% confidence level assuming simple random sampling.
The original article in Bahasa Indonesia can be accessed here